Dec 08 Stats for the Dallas Real Estate Market

January 28, 2009

Dallas ended the year on a relatively sour note. More homes sold in December than in November, but this was a drop from 2007. The loss cemented a loss for the year. Every month, except September, saw a drop from the previous year’s sales. And, every month had a double-digit drop from its 2006 counterpart.
There is a similar picture emerging in average and median home prices. Although these prices went up from November 2008, they are still down from 2007 and part of a trend of loss in 2008. There was a 3.6 percent drop in the average home price, and a 3.25 percent drop in the median price from December 2007. Overall, the average price of home sales was down 2.6 percent from 2007. The median price was down 2.63 percent for the year.
 
  

 

The Dallas Real Estate Market Has The Lowest Sales Since January 2001

January 7, 2009

 

Year Month

Sales

% 1 Year Change % 2 Year Change Average Price % 1 Year Change2 Median Price % 1 Year Change Total Listings

2006

Jan

3,457

   

$197,000

 

$149,600

 

26,232

2006

Feb

4,311

   

$199,600

 

$154,100

 

26,793

2006

Mar

5,883

   

$204,000

 

$154,900

 

27,795

2006

Apr

5,332

   

$202,400

 

$154,800

 

29,147

2006

May

6,410

   

$219,600

 

$164,500

 

29,775

2006

Jun

7,117

   

$217,300

 

$163,400

 

30,323

2006

Jul

5,965

   

$215,100

 

$164,000

 

31,191

2006

Aug

6,344

   

$210,700

 

$158,300

 

30,770

2006

Sep

5,052

   

$194,600

 

$150,200

 

31,030

2006

Oct

5,033

   

$200,800

 

$152,300

 

30,258

2006

Nov

4,585

   

$205,000

 

$154,900

 

29,060

2006

Dec

4,737

   

$209,600

 

$156,300

 

27,369

2007

Jan

3,626

4.89%

 

$201,800

2.44%

$149,300

-0.20%

28,328

2007

Feb

4,248

-1.46%

 

$202,800

1.60%

$153,500

-0.39%

29,121

2007

Mar

5,726

-2.67%

 

$215,700

5.74%

$158,200

2.13%

31,281

2007

Apr

5,252

-1.50%

 

$221,900

9.63%

$164,100

6.01%

32,787

2007

May

6,092

-4.96%

 

$225,000

2.46%

$163,000

-0.91%

33,283

2007

Jun

6,207

-12.79%

 

$230,700

6.17%

$169,100

3.49%

33,624

2007

Jul

6,111

2.45%

 

$217,800

1.26%

$163,700

-0.18%

33,414

2007

Aug

6,041

-4.78%

 

$224,100

6.36%

$165,700

4.67%

32,915

2007

Sep

4,069

-19.46%

 

$208,200

6.99%

$157,500

4.86%

32,907

2007

Oct

4,396

-12.66%

 

$205,600

2.39%

$153,500

0.79%

32,079

2007

Nov

4,124

-10.05%

 

$215,500

5.12%

$155,400

0.32%

30,563

2007

Dec

3,803

-19.72%

 

$214,100

2.15%

$153,700

-1.66%

27,649

2008

Jan

3,207

-11.56%

-7.23%

$196,300

-2.73%

$146,000

-2.21%

28,933

2008

Feb

3,867

-8.97%

-10.30%

$199,800

-1.48%

$147,400

-3.97%

29,206

2008

Mar

4,488

-21.62%

-23.71%

$214,200

-0.70%

$159,500

0.82%

30,124

2008

Apr

4,750

-9.56%

-10.92%

$215,800

-2.75%

$157,500

-4.02%

30,471

2008

May

5,177

-15.02%

-19.24%

$220,100

-2.18%

$162,000

-0.61%

30,340

2008

Jun

5,147

-17.08%

-27.68%

$218,400

-5.33%

$164,400

-2.78%

30,340

2008

Jul

5,097

-16.59%

-14.55%

$220,500

1.24%

$163,200

-0.31%

29,724

2008

Aug

4,863

-19.50%

-23.34%

$216,100

-3.57%

$159,200

-3.92%

28,367

2008

Sep

4,213

3.54%

-16.61%

$204,900

-1.59%

$150,600

-4.38%

27,406

2008

Oct

3,502

-20.34%

-30.42%

$207,500

0.92%

$154,100

0.39%

26,563

2008

Nov

2,776

-32.69%

-39.45%

$200,300

-7.05%

$144,100

-7.27%

26,573

The Dallas real estate market posted some enormous drops during 2008. September 2008 was literally the only month which saw any gain over it’s 2007 counterpart, and this gain was a paltry 3.54 percent. Every other month saw declines. February and April were the only months with single digit decline, at 8.97 percent and 9.56 percent, respectively. The largest drop was in November 2008. This month was 32.69 percent lower than it had been in 2007.

The two year drop was even more startling. January 2008 was 7.23 percent lower than January 2006, and this was the smallest decline. Every other month posted double digit declines, which ranged from 10.3 percent in February to 39.45 percent in November.

Not only did the number of sales decrease, but the mean and median housing costs decreased for November 2008, too. The mean sales price dropped over 7 percent to $200,300 and the median dropped 7.27 percent to $144,100. November was the biggest drop for all months in 2008 for both the mean and median housing prices.

Price Range

Percent Distribution

# of Sales

 
 

2007

2008e

2007

2008

Change
$29,999 or less

1.5

2.3

895.425

1083.001

20.95%

30,000 - 39,999

1.4

2.1

835.73

988.827

18.32%

40,000 - 49,999

1.9

2.4

1134.205

1130.088

-0.36%

50,000 - 59,999

2.2

2.4

1313.29

1130.088

-13.95%

60,000 - 69,999

2.5

2.7

1492.375

1271.349

-14.81%

70,000 - 79,999

3.1

3.5

1850.545

1648.045

-10.94%

80,000 - 89,999

3.8

4

2268.41

1883.48

-16.97%

90,000 - 99,999

4

4

2387.8

1883.48

-21.12%

Under 100k

20.4

23.4

12177.78

11018.358

-9.52%

100,000 - 119,999

9.3

8.6

5551.635

4049.482

-27.06%

120,000 - 139,999

10.9

10.4

6506.755

4897.048

-24.74%

140,000 - 159,999

9.6

9

5730.72

4237.83

-26.05%

100-160k

29.8

28

17789.11

13184.36

-25.89%

160,000 - 179,999

8.6

8.1

5133.77

3814.047

-25.71%

180,000 - 199,999

6.4

6.2

3820.48

2919.394

-23.59%

200,000 - 249,999

10.9

10.8

6506.755

5085.396

-21.84%

250,000 - 299,999

7.2

7.2

4298.04

3390.264

-21.12%

300,000 - 399,999

8.1

7.8

4835.295

3672.786

-24.04%

400,000 - 499,999

3.3

3.3

1969.935

1553.871

-21.12%

500,000 and more

5.4

5.2

3223.53

2448.524

-24.04%

While reviewing the percentage of sales for each price range, it is obvious why both the mean and the median home prices have dropped off over the past year. The only price ranges where home sales have increased are homes under $29,999 and homes between $30k and $39,999. Both of these fractions are up by about 20 percent. The rest of the divisions show double digit drops in every category, but $40-49,999. Home under $100,000 dropped by almost ten percent, even with the gains seen in homes under $40,000.

The largest decline occurs with homes priced from $100k to $119,999. These dropped by 26.05 percent. Homes between 100k and 160k had sales decline by over 25 percent.